Public dashboard | Methodology v0.1

Market Regime Intelligence

Largecaps are weak, volatility is elevated, and sector participation is narrow. Midcaps and smallcaps are constructive but fading and constructive but fading, while breadth is mixed. The environment supports selective / caution rather than broad aggressive risk-taking.

Deployment mode: Selective / CautionBest suited: Mean Reversion, Defensive / CashAvoid: Broad breakout chasing, weak-sector longs
Report date 2026-06-05 Weak
Market condition score30/100
Score30/100
ConfidenceMedium
Risk toneElevated
Datapassed
How to read this dashboard
Market scores

0-20 risk-off, 21-40 weak, 41-55 mixed/range-bound, 56-70 constructive, 71-85 bullish, 86-100 strong bullish.

Volatility risk score

0-25 low risk, 26-50 normal, 51-75 elevated, 76-100 high risk. Higher volatility means higher risk, not bullishness.

Interpretation

This dashboard describes market condition and strategy environment suitability. It does not provide buy/sell signals.

Color caution

Green does not mean buy. Red does not mean short. Deployment statuses describe environment suitability only.

Strategy Environment Suitability

Strategy Deployment Readiness Matrix

This is not a trade signal. It ranks whether the current market regime is favorable or unfavorable for each strategy type.

Momentum

Not enough evidence
Readiness score2/100
Score 2/100Confidence High

Why this status

  • Largecap and broad-market trend confirmation is not strong enough for broad momentum deployment.
  • Sector participation is narrow with 3/12 sectors above the 50 EMA.
  • Breadth is mixed rather than strong.
Nifty 50 ROC20 -3.95%Nifty 50 RSI 40.64Sectors above 50 EMA 3/12Above 50 DMA 55.00%

Breakout

Not enough evidence
Readiness score14/100
Score 14/100Confidence High

Why this status

  • Breakout environments need broad trend, breadth, and sector confirmation.
  • ADX is weak / range-like on the headline index blend.
  • Volatility risk is elevated, which reduces follow-through reliability.
Nifty 50 ADX 20.76Nifty 500 ADX 15.15Above 20 DMA 42.20%VIX percentile 75.00%

Pullback Long

Caution
Readiness score54/100
Score 54/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

  • Midcap and smallcap structure is better than largecaps, but short-term momentum is fading.
  • Breadth is mixed, not broken, so selective pullbacks have more evidence than broad chasing.
  • Confirmation is still needed because volatility is elevated.
Midcap status Constructive but fadingSmallcap status Constructive but fadingAbove 50 DMA 55.00%Risk tone Elevated

Mean Reversion

Selective
Readiness score64/100
Score 64/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

  • Short-term pressure exists across headline indices.
  • Volatility is elevated but not necessarily panic-level.
  • Mixed breadth can support tactical mean reversion, but confirmation matters.
Nifty 50 vs 20 EMA -1.20%Nifty 500 vs 20 EMA -0.61%Risk score 75/100Breadth reading mixed

Defensive / Cash

Selective
Readiness score74/100
Score 74/100Confidence High

Why this status

  • Defensive readiness rises when overall market evidence is mixed or weak.
  • Largecap trend is weak and sector participation is narrow.
  • Elevated volatility argues for restraint.
Overall score 30/100Nifty 50 status WeakSector reading narrowRisk tone Elevated

Short-side / Hedge-readiness

Favored
Readiness score80/100
Score 80/100Confidence High

Why this status

  • Weak headline trend and elevated volatility support hedge awareness.
  • This is not a short signal; it only describes environment suitability.
  • Hedge evidence weakens if breadth and mid/smallcaps remain resilient.
Nifty 50 structure WeakNifty 500 structure WeakAbove 200 DMA 41.60%VIX 15.79

Segment-wise Market View

Segment-wise Market View

Largecap Market - Nifty 50

Weak
Segment score8/100
Structure Weak Momentum weak Trend strength Moderate

Why this label?

  • Structure is weak versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is below the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is moderate with ADX 20.76.
  • Momentum is weak with RSI 40.64 and ROC20 -3.95%.

What this means: Largecap leadership is not supporting broad risk-taking.

Deployment impact: Avoid broad largecap market momentum deployment.

Broad Market - Nifty 500

Mixed / range-bound
Segment score7/100
Structure Weak Momentum fading Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

  • Structure is weak versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is below the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 15.15.
  • Momentum is fading with RSI 46.41 and ROC20 -3.22%.

What this means: The segment lacks directional agreement and may be more tactical than trend-friendly.

Deployment impact: Keep deployment tactical and evidence-led.

Midcap Market - Nifty Midcap 150

Constructive but fading
Segment score58/100
Structure Positive Momentum fading Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

  • Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is below the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 10.98.
  • Momentum is fading with RSI 49.83 and ROC20 -2.43%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Smallcap Market - Nifty Smallcap 100

Constructive but fading
Segment score70/100
Structure Positive Momentum fading Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

  • Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is above the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 11.43.
  • Momentum is fading with RSI 55.53 and ROC20 -3.13%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Market Breadth - Nifty 500 stocks

Mixed / range-bound
Segment score47/100
Structure Mixed Momentum Declining Trend strength Coverage healthy

Why this label?

  • 55.00% of covered stocks are above the 50 DMA.
  • 41.60% of covered stocks are above the 200 DMA.
  • Advance/decline is 241/259.
  • Latest coverage is 500/504 (99.21%).

What this means: Breadth shows whether the index move is supported by enough individual stocks.

Deployment impact: Broad aggressive deployment needs stronger breadth; mixed breadth favors selectivity.

Volatility / Risk - India VIX

Elevated
Segment score75/100
Structure Elevated Momentum VIX percentile 75.00% Trend strength Risk score, not bullishness score

Why this label?

  • India VIX latest close is 15.79.
  • India VIX one-year percentile is 75.00%.
  • Nifty 50 ATR% is 1.30%; Nifty 500 ATR% is 1.28%.

What this means: Higher volatility score means higher risk and less forgiving deployment conditions.

Deployment impact: Elevated volatility supports smaller, more selective deployment and tighter risk review.

Sector Leadership

Narrow
Segment score25/100
Structure Narrow Momentum Top sector: Nifty Pharma Trend strength 3/12 above 50 EMA

Why this label?

  • 3/12 sectors are above the 50 EMA.
  • 5/12 sectors are above the 200 EMA.
  • Top 20-day sectors: Nifty Pharma (0.47%, RS 4.41%), Nifty Metal (0.43%, RS 4.37%), Nifty IT (-0.11%, RS 3.83%).
  • Weakest 20-day sectors: Nifty Realty (-7.08%, RS -3.14%), Nifty FMCG (-5.42%, RS -1.47%), Nifty Financial Services (-5.27%, RS -1.32%).

What this means: Sector breadth shows whether leadership is broad or concentrated in a few pockets.

Deployment impact: Narrow sector participation argues against broad-market strategy deployment.

Evidence-backed Strategy Cards

Evidence-backed Strategy Cards

The readiness matrix above is based on the evidence chips shown in each strategy card: trend, breadth, volatility, momentum, and sector participation.

Market Regime Components

Market Regime Components

Nifty 50 close with 50 EMA and 200 EMA Nifty 500 close with 50 EMA and 200 EMA India VIX last 1 year Breadth history Sector 20-day return bar chart

Detailed Indicator Evidence

Detailed Indicator Evidence

Trend Details
IndexClose20 EMAvs 2050 EMAvs 50100 EMAvs 100200 EMAvs 20050 slope200 slopeADXReading
Nifty 5023,366.7023,650.02-1.20%23,877.47-2.14%24,257.43-3.67%24,542.00-4.79%-0.43%-0.24%20.76Weak
Nifty 50022,465.3522,603.70-0.61%22,576.16-0.49%22,690.05-0.99%22,782.03-1.39%-0.10%-0.07%15.15Weak
Nifty Midcap 15022,251.8022,340.07-0.40%22,019.101.06%21,816.591.99%21,602.823.00%0.25%0.16%10.98Constructive
Nifty Smallcap 10018,110.3018,020.090.50%17,659.172.55%17,444.873.81%17,429.813.90%0.51%0.19%11.43Constructive
Momentum Details
IndexRSI 14ROC 20ROC 63Distance 50 EMADistance 200 EMAReading
Nifty 5040.64-3.95%-7.20%-2.14%-4.79%weak
Nifty 50046.41-3.22%-3.03%-0.49%-1.39%fading
Nifty Midcap 15049.83-2.43%1.85%1.06%3.00%fading
Nifty Smallcap 10055.53-3.13%6.98%2.55%3.90%fading
Volatility Details
India VIX15.79
VIX percentile75.00%
Nifty 50 ATR%1.30%
Nifty 500 ATR%1.28%
Risk score75/100
Breadth Details
Coverage500/504 (99.21%)
Above 20 DMA42.20%
Above 50 DMA55.00%
Above 200 DMA41.60%
Advance / Decline / Unchanged241 / 259 / 0
52w highs / lows18 / 8
Broad Participation Details
Relative pair20-day63-day
Nifty 500 / Nifty 500.72%4.17%
Nifty Midcap 150 / Nifty 501.52%9.05%
Nifty Smallcap 100 / Nifty 500.82%14.17%
Sector Details
Sector20-day returnRS vs Nifty 50Above 50 EMAAbove 200 EMA
Nifty Pharma0.47%4.41%YesYes
Nifty Metal0.43%4.37%YesYes
Nifty IT-0.11%3.83%NoNo
Nifty Energy-1.93%2.01%YesYes
Nifty Bank-2.77%1.18%NoNo
Nifty Auto-4.29%-0.35%NoYes
Nifty Consumer Durables-4.30%-0.35%NoNo
Nifty PSU Bank-4.37%-0.43%NoYes
Nifty Oil & Gas-5.14%-1.20%NoNo
Nifty Financial Services-5.27%-1.32%NoNo
Nifty FMCG-5.42%-1.47%NoNo
Nifty Realty-7.08%-3.14%NoNo
Data Quality Details

Index/VIX/sector source: manual_downloads official NSE/NiftyIndices CSV files

Bhavcopy source: data/bhavcopy_downloads/raw CM-UDiFF zip files

Methodology version: v0.1

Latest dates

  • CM-UDiFF bhavcopy: 2026-06-05
  • India VIX: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty 50: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty 500: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty 500 constituents: available
  • Nifty Auto: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Bank: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Consumer Durables: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Energy: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty FMCG: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Financial Services: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty IT: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Metal: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Midcap 150: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Oil & Gas: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty PSU Bank: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Pharma: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Realty: 2026-06-05
  • Nifty Smallcap 100: 2026-06-05

Warnings

  • None