Public dashboard | Methodology v0.1

Market Regime Intelligence

Largecaps are mixed / range-bound, volatility is low, and sector participation is broad. Midcaps and smallcaps are constructive but fading and constructive but fading, while breadth is healthy. The environment supports constructive / selective rather than broad aggressive risk-taking.

Deployment mode: Constructive / SelectiveBest suited: Momentum, BreakoutAvoid: Broad breakout chasing, weak-sector longs

Report date 2026-08-21 Bullish

Market condition score71/100

Score71/100

ConfidenceMedium

Risk toneLow

Datapassed

How to read this dashboard

Market scores

0-20 risk-off, 21-40 weak, 41-55 mixed/range-bound, 56-70 constructive, 71-85 bullish, 86-100 strong bullish.

Volatility risk score

0-25 low risk, 26-50 normal, 51-75 elevated, 76-100 high risk. Higher volatility means higher risk, not bullishness.

Interpretation

This dashboard describes market condition and strategy environment suitability. It does not provide buy/sell signals.

Color caution

Green does not mean buy. Red does not mean short. Deployment statuses describe environment suitability only.

Strategy Environment Suitability

Strategy Deployment Readiness Matrix

This is not a trade signal. It ranks whether the current market regime is favorable or unfavorable for each strategy type.

Momentum

Selective

Readiness score58/100

Score 58/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

Largecap and broad-market trend confirmation is not strong enough for broad momentum deployment.
Sector participation is broad with 9/12 sectors above the 50 EMA.
Breadth is healthy rather than strong.

Nifty 50 ROC20 0.31%Nifty 50 RSI 60.29Sectors above 50 EMA 9/12Above 50 DMA 61.12%

Breakout

Selective

Readiness score59/100

Score 59/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

Breakout environments need broad trend, breadth, and sector confirmation.
ADX is weak / range-like on the headline index blend.
Volatility risk is low, which reduces follow-through reliability.

Nifty 50 ADX 19.79Nifty 500 ADX 15.45Above 20 DMA 57.31%VIX percentile 24.21%

Pullback Long

Selective

Readiness score66/100

Score 66/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

Midcap and smallcap structure is better than largecaps, but short-term momentum is fading.
Breadth is mixed, not broken, so selective pullbacks have more evidence than broad chasing.
Confirmation is still needed because volatility is elevated.

Midcap status Constructive but fadingSmallcap status Constructive but fadingAbove 50 DMA 61.12%Risk tone Low

Mean Reversion

Avoid

Readiness score28/100

Score 28/100Confidence High

Why this status

Short-term pressure exists across headline indices.
Volatility is elevated but not necessarily panic-level.
Mixed breadth can support tactical mean reversion, but confirmation matters.

Nifty 50 vs 20 EMA 2.30%Nifty 500 vs 20 EMA 3.69%Risk score 24/100Breadth reading healthy

Defensive / Cash

Avoid

Readiness score28/100

Score 28/100Confidence High

Why this status

Defensive readiness rises when overall market evidence is mixed or weak.
Largecap trend is weak and sector participation is narrow.
Elevated volatility argues for restraint.

Overall score 71/100Nifty 50 status Mixed / range-boundSector reading broadRisk tone Low

Short-side / Hedge-readiness

Avoid

Readiness score33/100

Score 33/100Confidence Low

Why this status

Weak headline trend and elevated volatility support hedge awareness.
This is not a short signal; it only describes environment suitability.
Hedge evidence weakens if breadth and mid/smallcaps remain resilient.

Nifty 50 structure MixedNifty 500 structure PositiveAbove 200 DMA 50.30%VIX 11.20

Segment-wise Market View

Largecap Market - Nifty 50

Mixed / range-bound

Segment score57/100

Structure Mixed Momentum positive Trend strength Moderate

Why this label?

Structure is mixed versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
Price is above the 20 EMA.
Trend strength is moderate with ADX 19.79.
Momentum is positive with RSI 60.29 and ROC20 0.31%.

What this means: The segment lacks directional agreement and may be more tactical than trend-friendly.

Deployment impact: Keep deployment tactical and evidence-led.

Broad Market - Nifty 500

Constructive but fading

Segment score78/100

Structure Positive Momentum positive Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
Price is above the 20 EMA.
Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 15.45.
Momentum is positive with RSI 66.46 and ROC20 1.79%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Midcap Market - Nifty Midcap 150

Constructive but fading

Segment score84/100

Structure Positive Momentum positive Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
Price is above the 20 EMA.
Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 11.80.
Momentum is positive with RSI 68.23 and ROC20 2.79%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Smallcap Market - Nifty Smallcap 100

Constructive but fading

Segment score76/100

Structure Positive Momentum stretched Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
Price is above the 20 EMA.
Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 14.13.
Momentum is stretched with RSI 79.45 and ROC20 6.62%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Market Breadth - Nifty 500 stocks

Constructive

Segment score56/100

Structure Healthy Momentum Declining Trend strength Coverage healthy

Why this label?

61.12% of covered stocks are above the 50 DMA.
50.30% of covered stocks are above the 200 DMA.
Advance/decline is 223/267.
Latest coverage is 499/504 (99.01%).

What this means: Breadth shows whether the index move is supported by enough individual stocks.

Deployment impact: Broad aggressive deployment needs stronger breadth; mixed breadth favors selectivity.

Volatility / Risk - India VIX

Low

Segment score24/100

Structure Low Momentum VIX percentile 24.21% Trend strength Risk score, not bullishness score

Why this label?

India VIX latest close is 11.20.
India VIX one-year percentile is 24.21%.
Nifty 50 ATR% is 1.43%; Nifty 500 ATR% is 1.46%.

What this means: Higher volatility score means higher risk and less forgiving deployment conditions.

Deployment impact: Elevated volatility supports smaller, more selective deployment and tighter risk review.

Sector Leadership

Broad

Segment score75/100

Structure Broad Momentum Top sector: Nifty Realty Trend strength 9/12 above 50 EMA

Why this label?

9/12 sectors are above the 50 EMA.
8/12 sectors are above the 200 EMA.
Top 20-day sectors: Nifty Realty (10.68%, RS 10.37%), Nifty Pharma (9.33%, RS 9.02%), Nifty Consumer Durables (8.76%, RS 8.44%).
Weakest 20-day sectors: Nifty FMCG (-7.14%, RS -7.46%), Nifty Energy (-6.23%, RS -6.55%), Nifty Oil & Gas (-3.59%, RS -3.90%).

What this means: Sector breadth shows whether leadership is broad or concentrated in a few pockets.

Deployment impact: Narrow sector participation argues against broad-market strategy deployment.

Evidence-backed Strategy Cards

The readiness matrix above is based on the evidence chips shown in each strategy card: trend, breadth, volatility, momentum, and sector participation.

Market Regime Components

Detailed Indicator Evidence

Trend Details

Index	Close	20 EMA	vs 20	50 EMA	vs 50	100 EMA	vs 100	200 EMA	vs 200	50 slope	200 slope	ADX	Reading
Nifty 50	24,252.00	23,707.35	2.30%	23,892.16	1.51%	24,257.32	-0.02%	24,539.12	-1.17%	-0.27%	-0.20%	19.79	Mixed / range-bound
Nifty 500	23,530.30	22,691.95	3.69%	22,613.58	4.05%	22,706.69	3.63%	22,789.47	3.25%	0.09%	-0.02%	15.45	Constructive
Nifty Midcap 150	23,407.70	22,441.75	4.30%	22,073.56	6.04%	21,848.10	7.14%	21,620.78	8.26%	0.45%	0.21%	11.80	Constructive
Nifty Smallcap 100	19,977.75	18,206.53	9.73%	17,750.10	12.55%	17,495.03	14.19%	17,455.17	14.45%	0.93%	0.30%	14.13	Constructive

Momentum Details

Index	RSI 14	ROC 20	ROC 63	Distance 50 EMA	Distance 200 EMA	Reading
Nifty 50	60.29	0.31%	-2.47%	1.51%	-1.17%	positive
Nifty 500	66.46	1.79%	3.04%	4.05%	3.25%	positive
Nifty Midcap 150	68.23	2.79%	8.99%	6.04%	8.26%	positive
Nifty Smallcap 100	79.45	6.62%	20.11%	12.55%	14.45%	stretched

Volatility Details

India VIX11.20

VIX percentile24.21%

Nifty 50 ATR%1.43%

Nifty 500 ATR%1.46%

Risk score24/100

Breadth Details

Coverage499/504 (99.01%)

Above 20 DMA57.31%

Above 50 DMA61.12%

Above 200 DMA50.30%

Advance / Decline / Unchanged223 / 267 / 9

52w highs / lows79 / 26

Broad Participation Details

Relative pair	20-day	63-day
Nifty 500 / Nifty 50	1.48%	5.51%
Nifty Midcap 150 / Nifty 50	2.48%	11.46%
Nifty Smallcap 100 / Nifty 50	6.31%	22.58%

Sector Details

Sector	20-day return	RS vs Nifty 50	Above 50 EMA	Above 200 EMA
Nifty Realty	10.68%	10.37%	Yes	Yes
Nifty Pharma	9.33%	9.02%	Yes	Yes
Nifty Consumer Durables	8.76%	8.44%	Yes	Yes
Nifty Auto	6.84%	6.53%	Yes	Yes
Nifty Bank	4.43%	4.12%	Yes	Yes
Nifty IT	3.87%	3.56%	Yes	No
Nifty PSU Bank	2.96%	2.65%	Yes	Yes
Nifty Financial Services	0.96%	0.65%	Yes	No
Nifty Metal	0.93%	0.62%	Yes	Yes
Nifty Oil & Gas	-3.59%	-3.90%	No	No
Nifty Energy	-6.23%	-6.55%	No	Yes
Nifty FMCG	-7.14%	-7.46%	No	No

Data Quality Details

Index/VIX/sector source: manual_downloads official NSE/NiftyIndices CSV files

Bhavcopy source: data/bhavcopy_downloads/raw CM-UDiFF zip files

Methodology version: v0.1

Latest dates

CM-UDiFF bhavcopy: 2026-08-21
India VIX: 2026-08-21
Nifty 50: 2026-08-21
Nifty 500: 2026-08-21
Nifty 500 constituents: available
Nifty Auto: 2026-08-21
Nifty Bank: 2026-08-21
Nifty Consumer Durables: 2026-08-21
Nifty Energy: 2026-08-21
Nifty FMCG: 2026-08-21
Nifty Financial Services: 2026-08-21
Nifty IT: 2026-08-21
Nifty Metal: 2026-08-21
Nifty Midcap 150: 2026-08-21
Nifty Oil & Gas: 2026-08-21
Nifty PSU Bank: 2026-08-21
Nifty Pharma: 2026-08-21
Nifty Realty: 2026-08-21
Nifty Smallcap 100: 2026-08-21

Warnings

None