Public dashboard | Methodology v0.1

Market Regime Intelligence

Largecaps are constructive, volatility is normal, and sector participation is broad. Midcaps and smallcaps are constructive but fading and constructive but fading, while breadth is healthy. The environment supports constructive / selective rather than broad aggressive risk-taking.

Deployment mode: Constructive / SelectiveBest suited: Momentum, BreakoutAvoid: Broad breakout chasing, weak-sector longs
Report date 2026-08-04 Bullish
Market condition score74/100
Score74/100
ConfidenceHigh
Risk toneNormal
Datapassed
How to read this dashboard
Market scores

0-20 risk-off, 21-40 weak, 41-55 mixed/range-bound, 56-70 constructive, 71-85 bullish, 86-100 strong bullish.

Volatility risk score

0-25 low risk, 26-50 normal, 51-75 elevated, 76-100 high risk. Higher volatility means higher risk, not bullishness.

Interpretation

This dashboard describes market condition and strategy environment suitability. It does not provide buy/sell signals.

Color caution

Green does not mean buy. Red does not mean short. Deployment statuses describe environment suitability only.

Strategy Environment Suitability

Strategy Deployment Readiness Matrix

This is not a trade signal. It ranks whether the current market regime is favorable or unfavorable for each strategy type.

Momentum

Selective
Readiness score58/100
Score 58/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

  • Largecap and broad-market trend confirmation is not strong enough for broad momentum deployment.
  • Sector participation is broad with 9/12 sectors above the 50 EMA.
  • Breadth is healthy rather than strong.
Nifty 50 ROC20 1.81%Nifty 50 RSI 65.04Sectors above 50 EMA 9/12Above 50 DMA 66.53%

Breakout

Selective
Readiness score55/100
Score 55/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

  • Breakout environments need broad trend, breadth, and sector confirmation.
  • ADX is moderate on the headline index blend.
  • Volatility risk is normal, which reduces follow-through reliability.
Nifty 50 ADX 20.69Nifty 500 ADX 15.86Above 20 DMA 63.13%VIX percentile 50.00%

Pullback Long

Selective
Readiness score60/100
Score 60/100Confidence Medium

Why this status

  • Midcap and smallcap structure is better than largecaps, but short-term momentum is fading.
  • Breadth is mixed, not broken, so selective pullbacks have more evidence than broad chasing.
  • Confirmation is still needed because volatility is elevated.
Midcap status Constructive but fadingSmallcap status Constructive but fadingAbove 50 DMA 66.53%Risk tone Normal

Mean Reversion

Avoid
Readiness score32/100
Score 32/100Confidence Low

Why this status

  • Short-term pressure exists across headline indices.
  • Volatility is elevated but not necessarily panic-level.
  • Mixed breadth can support tactical mean reversion, but confirmation matters.
Nifty 50 vs 20 EMA 3.68%Nifty 500 vs 20 EMA 4.33%Risk score 50/100Breadth reading healthy

Defensive / Cash

Avoid
Readiness score31/100
Score 31/100Confidence Low

Why this status

  • Defensive readiness rises when overall market evidence is mixed or weak.
  • Largecap trend is weak and sector participation is narrow.
  • Elevated volatility argues for restraint.
Overall score 74/100Nifty 50 status ConstructiveSector reading broadRisk tone Normal

Short-side / Hedge-readiness

Avoid
Readiness score33/100
Score 33/100Confidence Low

Why this status

  • Weak headline trend and elevated volatility support hedge awareness.
  • This is not a short signal; it only describes environment suitability.
  • Hedge evidence weakens if breadth and mid/smallcaps remain resilient.
Nifty 50 structure PositiveNifty 500 structure PositiveAbove 200 DMA 52.51%VIX 12.19

Segment-wise Market View

Segment-wise Market View

Largecap Market - Nifty 50

Constructive
Segment score75/100
Structure Positive Momentum positive Trend strength Moderate

Why this label?

  • Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is above the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is moderate with ADX 20.69.
  • Momentum is positive with RSI 65.04 and ROC20 1.81%.

What this means: The segment should be interpreted with the broader breadth, volatility, and sector backdrop.

Deployment impact: More favorable for selective deployment when breadth and sector evidence agree.

Broad Market - Nifty 500

Constructive but fading
Segment score78/100
Structure Positive Momentum positive Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

  • Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is above the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 15.86.
  • Momentum is positive with RSI 68.25 and ROC20 2.49%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Midcap Market - Nifty Midcap 150

Constructive but fading
Segment score84/100
Structure Positive Momentum positive Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

  • Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is above the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 11.83.
  • Momentum is positive with RSI 67.61 and ROC20 2.53%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Smallcap Market - Nifty Smallcap 100

Constructive but fading
Segment score76/100
Structure Positive Momentum stretched Trend strength Weak / range-like

Why this label?

  • Structure is positive versus the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
  • Price is above the 20 EMA.
  • Trend strength is weak / range-like with ADX 13.82.
  • Momentum is stretched with RSI 77.20 and ROC20 4.79%.

What this means: Longer-term structure is intact, but short-term pressure requires confirmation.

Deployment impact: Selective long setups only; avoid chasing extended moves.

Market Breadth - Nifty 500 stocks

Constructive
Segment score60/100
Structure Healthy Momentum Declining Trend strength Coverage healthy

Why this label?

  • 66.53% of covered stocks are above the 50 DMA.
  • 52.51% of covered stocks are above the 200 DMA.
  • Advance/decline is 191/300.
  • Latest coverage is 499/504 (99.01%).

What this means: Breadth shows whether the index move is supported by enough individual stocks.

Deployment impact: Broad aggressive deployment needs stronger breadth; mixed breadth favors selectivity.

Volatility / Risk - India VIX

Normal
Segment score50/100
Structure Normal Momentum VIX percentile 50.00% Trend strength Risk score, not bullishness score

Why this label?

  • India VIX latest close is 12.19.
  • India VIX one-year percentile is 50.00%.
  • Nifty 50 ATR% is 1.53%; Nifty 500 ATR% is 1.52%.

What this means: Higher volatility score means higher risk and less forgiving deployment conditions.

Deployment impact: Elevated volatility supports smaller, more selective deployment and tighter risk review.

Sector Leadership

Broad
Segment score75/100
Structure Broad Momentum Top sector: Nifty Pharma Trend strength 9/12 above 50 EMA

Why this label?

  • 9/12 sectors are above the 50 EMA.
  • 9/12 sectors are above the 200 EMA.
  • Top 20-day sectors: Nifty Pharma (10.32%, RS 8.50%), Nifty Realty (8.21%, RS 6.39%), Nifty Consumer Durables (8.02%, RS 6.21%).
  • Weakest 20-day sectors: Nifty Energy (-4.85%, RS -6.67%), Nifty Oil & Gas (-3.21%, RS -5.03%), Nifty FMCG (-3.20%, RS -5.02%).

What this means: Sector breadth shows whether leadership is broad or concentrated in a few pockets.

Deployment impact: Narrow sector participation argues against broad-market strategy deployment.

Evidence-backed Strategy Cards

Evidence-backed Strategy Cards

The readiness matrix above is based on the evidence chips shown in each strategy card: trend, breadth, volatility, momentum, and sector participation.

Market Regime Components

Market Regime Components

Nifty 50 close with 50 EMA and 200 EMA Nifty 500 close with 50 EMA and 200 EMA India VIX last 1 year Breadth history Sector 20-day return bar chart

Detailed Indicator Evidence

Detailed Indicator Evidence

Trend Details
IndexClose20 EMAvs 2050 EMAvs 50100 EMAvs 100200 EMAvs 20050 slope200 slopeADXReading
Nifty 5024,614.9023,741.913.68%23,906.392.96%24,264.501.44%24,542.730.29%-0.21%-0.18%20.69Constructive
Nifty 50023,690.1522,707.184.33%22,619.854.73%22,709.854.32%22,791.063.94%0.12%-0.01%15.86Constructive
Nifty Midcap 15023,347.7522,436.044.06%22,071.215.78%21,846.916.87%21,620.187.99%0.44%0.21%11.83Constructive
Nifty Smallcap 10019,635.2518,173.918.04%17,736.6710.70%17,488.2512.28%17,451.7612.51%0.86%0.28%13.82Constructive
Momentum Details
IndexRSI 14ROC 20ROC 63Distance 50 EMADistance 200 EMAReading
Nifty 5065.041.81%-1.01%2.96%0.29%positive
Nifty 50068.252.49%3.74%4.73%3.94%positive
Nifty Midcap 15067.612.53%8.71%5.78%7.99%positive
Nifty Smallcap 10077.204.79%18.05%10.70%12.51%stretched
Volatility Details
India VIX12.19
VIX percentile50.00%
Nifty 50 ATR%1.53%
Nifty 500 ATR%1.52%
Risk score50/100
Breadth Details
Coverage499/504 (99.01%)
Above 20 DMA63.13%
Above 50 DMA66.53%
Above 200 DMA52.51%
Advance / Decline / Unchanged191 / 300 / 8
52w highs / lows71 / 13
Broad Participation Details
Relative pair20-day63-day
Nifty 500 / Nifty 500.67%4.75%
Nifty Midcap 150 / Nifty 500.71%9.72%
Nifty Smallcap 100 / Nifty 502.98%19.06%
Sector Details
Sector20-day returnRS vs Nifty 50Above 50 EMAAbove 200 EMA
Nifty Pharma10.32%8.50%YesYes
Nifty Realty8.21%6.39%YesYes
Nifty Consumer Durables8.02%6.21%YesYes
Nifty IT7.01%5.19%YesNo
Nifty Auto6.54%4.72%YesYes
Nifty Bank4.69%2.88%YesYes
Nifty Financial Services3.20%1.39%YesYes
Nifty PSU Bank1.29%-0.53%YesYes
Nifty Metal-0.14%-1.96%YesYes
Nifty FMCG-3.20%-5.02%NoNo
Nifty Oil & Gas-3.21%-5.03%NoNo
Nifty Energy-4.85%-6.67%NoYes
Data Quality Details

Index/VIX/sector source: manual_downloads official NSE/NiftyIndices CSV files

Bhavcopy source: data/bhavcopy_downloads/raw CM-UDiFF zip files

Methodology version: v0.1

Latest dates

  • CM-UDiFF bhavcopy: 2026-08-04
  • India VIX: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty 50: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty 500: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty 500 constituents: available
  • Nifty Auto: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Bank: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Consumer Durables: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Energy: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty FMCG: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Financial Services: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty IT: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Metal: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Midcap 150: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Oil & Gas: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty PSU Bank: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Pharma: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Realty: 2026-08-04
  • Nifty Smallcap 100: 2026-08-04

Warnings

  • None